Dynamics of Protests in China (1989-2022): A Strategic Analysis of the Logic of Protest and Collective Action

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor of Payam Noor University, Department of Political Science

2 PhD student, University of Tehran, Faculty of Law and Political Science, Tehran, Iran.

3 Master of Political Science at Payam Noor Qochan University

10.22080/jpir.2024.25979.1348

Abstract

This study examines the evolution of protest dynamics in China from 1989 to 2022. It hypothesizes that the characteristics of protests and government responses have systematically changed over time, reflecting broader socio-political changes. The theory of protest logic and social movement frameworks were used to analyze these changes. Using a descriptive-analytical approach, historical and contemporary protest events in China were examined, focusing on causal factors, types of protest, and government responses. It is stated that protests have shifted from broader political-economic issues to more specific grievances, and government responses have changed accordingly. The results confirmed a significant change in protest dynamics, with early protests often leading to systematic political-economic concerns, while recent events, especially in 2022, focused on specific issues such as infrastructure shortages, corruption, and COVID-19 policies. The government's approach has evolved from initial repressive tactics to more subtle protest management strategies, especially for widespread dissent. These findings contribute to understanding collective action in authoritarian contexts, highlighting the complex interplay between social grievances, government responses, and historical conditions. This study demonstrates that protest diversity and evolution in China depend on the type of protest, historical context, and government approach, emphasizing the need for context-specific analysis of collective action dynamics.

Keywords

Main Subjects


Barnett, R. (2009). The Tibet Protests of Spring 2008: Conflict between the Nation and the State. China Perspectives, 9 (3), 6–23.
Branch, A., & Mampilly, C. Z. (2015). Africa Uprising: Popular Protest and Political Change. London: Zed Books.
Brown, D., & Harlow, S. (2019). Rotests, Media Coverage, and a Hierarchy of Social Struggle. The International Journal of Press/Politics, 24 (3): 19-40.
Cai, Y. (2008). “Power Structure and Regime Resilience: Contentious Politics in China”. British Journal of Political Science, 38 (3): 411-432.
Cai, Y., & Jay Chen, C.J. (2022). State and Social Protests in China. Elements in Politics and Society in East Asia, Cambridge University Press.
Calhoun, C. (1989). Revolution and Repression in Tiananmen Square. Society, 26 (6), 21–38.
Chen, X. (2009). "The Power of "Troublemaking": Protest Tactics and Their Efficacy in China." Comparative Politics, 41(4), 451-471.
Craven, T. (2021). Beyond the Red Line: An Analysis of Deadly Repression Against Anti-Regime Protests in the People’s Republic of China. Senior Honors Thesis, Political Science, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Crowe, K. (2022). Ask the expert: Protests in China over lockdown policies. Msutoday, 7 Dec, 2022. Available at: https://msutoday.msu.edu/news/2022/Ask-the-expert-protests-in-China-over-lockdown-policies
Dong, L. (2022). The Persistent Vaccine Hesitancy of China’s Elderly. Bloomberg, July, 2022. Available at:https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-07-11/the-persistent-vaccine-hesitancy-of-china-s-elderly. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022. 
FRANCE 24. (2022). Historic protests in China against 'zero Covid' policy. https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20221202-historic-protests-in-china-against-zero-covid-policy
Göbel, C. (2020). The Political Logic of Protest Repression in China. Journal of Contemporary China, 30 (128): 169-185.
Godbole, A. (2019). Stability in the Xi Era: Trends in Ethnic Policy in Xinjiang and Tibet Since 2012. Indian Council of World Affairs, 75 (2), 228–244.
Greitens, S. C. (2019). “Surveillance with Chinese Characteristics: The Development & Global Export of Chinese Policing Technology.” Retrieved June 15, 2020 (http://ncgg.princeton.edu/IR% 20Colloquium/GreitensSept2019.pdf).
Honneth, A. (1995). The Struggle for Recognition. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Jay Chen, C.J. (2020). A PROTEST SOCIETY EVALUATED: POPULAR PROTESTS IN CHINA, 2000-2019. Mobilization: An International Journal, 25 (5): 641-660.
Jingtao, S. (2022). Anti-Covid lockdown protests flare across China after deadly Urumqi fire.  South China Morning Post, Nov. 2022. Available at:  https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3201181/anti-covid-lockdown-protests-flare-across-china-after-deadly-urumqi-fire. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022.
Johnston, H., & Zhang, S. (2020). Repertoires of Protest and Repression in Contemporary China. Mobilization: An International Quarterly, 25 (5): 601-622.
Kang, D., & Wu, H. (2022). Crowd angered by lockdowns calls for China’s Xi to step down. AP News, Nov. 2022. Available at: https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-health-fires-social-media-50d7515e5fae00f5054062209e9306cc. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022 
Kann, C., Hashash, S., Steinert-Threlkeld, Z., & Alvarez, RM. (2023). Collective identity in collective action: evidence from the 2020 summer BLM protests. Front. Polit. Sci, 5 (11): 185-203.
Lau, M. (2022). Fresh Covid questions over Chinese Covid lockdowns after 10 killed in fire at Xinjiang residential block.  South China Morning Post, Nov. 2022. Available at: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3201005/fresh-covid-questions-over-chinese-covid-lockdowns-after-10-killed-fire-xinjiang-residential-block?module=inline&pgtype=article. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022.
Lei, Y.W. (2017). The Contentious Public Sphere: Law, Media, And Authoritarian Rule in China. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Lewis Abedi Asante & Ilse Helbrecht (2018): Seeing through African protest logics: a longitudinal review of continuity and change in protests in Ghana, Canadian Journal of African Studies / Revue canadienne des études africaines, DOI:10.1080/00083968.2018.1477607.
Li, Y. (2019). A Zero-Sum Game? Repression and Protest in China. Government and Opposition, 54 (2), 309–335.
Liu, J., Liu, M., & Liang, W. (2022). The DYnamic COVID-Zero Strategy in China. CCDC Weekly, 4 (4): 74-85.
Liu, S. (2015). The new contentious sequence since Tiananmen. Third World Quarterly, 36 (11), 2148-2166.
Mackerras, C. (2001). Xinjiang at the Turn of the Century: The Causes of Separatism. Central Asian Survey, 20 (3), 289–303.
Mao, F. (2022). China abandons key parts of zero-Covid strategy after protests. BBC, Dec, 2022. Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-63855508. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022.
McCarthy, J.D., & Zald, M.N. (1977). Resource Mobilization and Social Movements: A Partial Theory. American Journal of Sociology, 82 (6): 1212-1241.
O’Brien, K. J. (2008). “Introduction: Studying Contention in Contemporary China.” Pp. 11-25 in Popular Protest in China, edited by Kevin J. O’Brien. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Ong, L. H., & Han, D. (2019). What Drives People to Protest in an Authoritarian Country? Resources and Rewards vs Risks of Protests in Urban and Rural China. Political Studies Association, 67 (1), 224-248.
Perry, E. (2002). Moving the Masses: Emotion Work in the Chinese Revolution. Mobilization: An International Quarterly, 7 (2): 111-128.
Quinzenal, A. (2022). Nationwide Covid Protests of 2022 in China: What Comes Next?. Criado, Dec, 2022. Available at: http://petrel.unb.br/destaques/179-nationwide-covid-protests-of-2022-in-china-what-comes-next
Restrepo, M. L. (2022). How protesters in China bypass online censorship to express dissent. NPR, Dec. 2022. Available at:https://www.npr.org/2022/12/08/1141335778/china-zero-covid-lockdown-protests-online-xi-jinping-censorship. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022.
Smith, L.G.E., Thomas, E.F., & Bliuc, AM. (2024). Polarization is the psychological foundation of collective engagement. Commun Psychol, 2 (41): 1-23.
Sylla, N. S. (2014). “Introduction: Democracy, Liberalism and Social Movements in West Africa.” In Liberalism and Its Discontents: Social Movements in West Africa, edited by N. S. Sylla, 13–71. Dakar: Rosa Luxemburg Foundation.
Tilly, C. (1978). From Mobilization to Revolution. Addison-Wesley.
WHO-China. (2022). Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus DIsease 2019 (COVID-19). WHO-China, Feb. 2020. Available at:  https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf. Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022.
Wright, T. (2022). Protests in China are not rare – but the current unrest is significant. The Conversation. Available at:https://theconversation.com/protests-in-china-are-not-rare-but-the-current-unrest-is-significant-195622 Accessed on: 10 Dec. 2022.
Yang, D. (2017). China’s Troubled Quest for Order: Leadership, Organization and the Contradictions of the Stability Maintenance Regime. Journal of Contemporary China, 26 (203): 35-53.
Yang, G. (2009). The Power of the Internet in China: Citizen Activism Online. Columbia University Press.